Given the results of the 2008 primary, anyone who believes he can accurately predict Montana politics is fooling himself, but I thought it would be interesting to throw out some ideas and see what others think. Feel free to throw your predictions in as comments.
GOVERNOR: REPUBLICAN
- Rick Hill (42%)
- Ken Miller (18%)
- Neil Livingstone (14%)
CONGRESS: DEMOCRAT
- Kim Gillan
- Franke Wilmer
- Diane Smith
SECRETARY OF STATE: REPUBLICAN
- Brad Johnson
- Scott Aspenlieder
- Patty Lovaas
ATTORNEY GENERAL: REPUBLICAN
- Tim Fox
ATTORNEY GENERAL: DEMOCRAT
- Jesse Laslovich
Hill – 32%
Livingston – 28%
Miller – 15%
Gillan
Aspenleider over Johnson
Bucy
Fox
I have much faith in the Teatard chrisofascists. So, thus:
1. Miller (34%)
2. Hill (30%)
3. The rest, who cares?
Gillam, Bucy advance.
Larry, you are about as accurate with this prediction as you are with the rest of the rot you spew forth on these blogs.
Agree with the predictions in your post.
I think you’re right – although I cant speak to the SoS office, because I haven’t paid attention to it. Who comes out of the Democratic Congressional Primary will be interesting, but it will be a tough row for the winner to hoe.
I think the GOP nominee for governor may win with less than 40 percent of the vote. The same could be true of the winner of the Democratic nomination for U.S. House.
There are a number of contests, statewide and local, with five or more candidates. It’s possible that some of the winners will receive less than, perhaps substantially less than, 40 percent of the vote. If that happens, I predict there will be renewed interest in an instant runoff system for some offices.
A risky projection of the May PPP survey for the Demo U.S. House. http://www.flatheadmem.com
Link doesn’t work.
I went to you blog and looked at the chart. Very interesting and fun too look at.