Montana Politics

Predictions for Tomorrow

National Races

House of Representatives: 230 Democrats, 205 GOP

The Senate:

  • CT: Lieberman defeats LaMont, 48-44
  • MD: Cardin defeats Steele, 52-47
  • MO: McCaskill defeats Talent, 50-48
  • NJ: Menendez defeats Keane, 55-44
  • OH: Brown defeats DeWine, 54-45
  • VA: Webb defeats Allen, 52-48
  • PA: Casey defeats Santorum, 58-40
  • RI: Chafee defeats Whitehouse, 50-49
  • TN: Corker defeats Ford, 53-47
  • MT: Not going to jinx anything here, but 52-46 sounds about right to me.

Yes, these are probably wildly optimistic, as well as awfully specific predictions, but I have to believe two things: 1) It’s our turn to win some close races, and 2) Americans want their government and their country back.

 The House

I think Democrats will pick up seats in Wyoming and Idaho, as well.

Montana Legislature and Initiatives

Senate: 26 Republicans, 24 Democrats

House: 52 Democrats, 47 Republicans, 1 Constitution

Minimum Wage: Will pass handily

Lobbying Reform: Will pass, with a huge margin

Auditor/Insurance: Will fail (something has to)

If you appreciate an independent voice holding Montana politicians accountable and informing voters, and you can throw a few dollars a month our way, we would certainly appreciate it.

1 Comment

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  • Pogie… your Senate predictions match my Senate predictions in terms of who will win and lose. I think that means we should be friends. Happy Election Day!

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Don Pogreba

Don Pogreba is an eighteen-year teacher of English, former debate coach, and loyal, if often sad, fan of the San Diego Padres and Portland Timbers. He spends far too many hours of his life working at school and on his small business, Big Sky Debate.
His work has appeared in Politico and Rewire.
In the past few years, travel has become a priority, whether it's a road trip to some little town in Montana or a museum of culture in Ísafjörður, Iceland.

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