The fundraising numbers are out and we’re updating election rankings. We last updated the election rankings in July. In July, we gave Bullock a slight edge in the gubernatorial race. That isn’t changing. Despite raising some serious cash, Gianforte is running a pretty lousy campaign. Make no mistake, this will be a close race and this ranking may change, but it’s not changing today. It’s also worth noting that a libertarian has jumped into the race.
Attorney General Tim Fox remains the favorite and we’re starting to wonder if a Democrat will challenge him. We’ve also removed Matt Monforton and Dirk Adams from the running – for now.
Jesse Laslovich continues to outraise the entire field of “tier b” candidates and seems to be enjoying broad support. He is still our favorite in the race for State Auditor.
As we predicted, Corey Stapleton has announced he’s running for Secretary of State. He’ll be running against Monica Lindeen. This is a toss-up race. Stapleton isn’t exactly beloved within his party and seems to stumble when it comes to statewide campaigns, but he has the potential to self-fund. Lindeen’s fundraising has been lackluster, but she’s popular with moderates.
The one ranking we’re changing is OPI.
|Governor Bullock||Democrat||Slight Edge||55%|
|SECRETARY OF STATE|
|Elsie Arntzen||Republican||Slight Edge||55%|