The Montana Streetfighter is reporting that Sandy Welch, the failed Republican candidate for Superintendent of Public Instruction, has already filed for the 2016 race.
While I am certainly better at math than Ms. Welch, this decision to file comes roughly 1,000 days early, suggesting either that Ms. Welch wants to displace Brad Johnson as the GOP’s irrepressible, unelectable candidate or that she thought this form was part of her quixotic recount bid.
In either case, Ms. Welch may face real opposition from within her own party as she mounts another campaign. While Welch seemed to gain support from moderate Republicans (all seven of them) and the conservative “Git the UN of our schools” crowd in 2012, she’s aligned herself with the heretical “Responsible Republicans,” which means she’ll likely face a challenge from a far more conservative candidate in the primary—as well as the prospect of dark money attacks from those who view their conservative brand of Republicanism as they only kind.
It’s a risky move for Welch, who doesn’t have much of a record as either a player in the Republican Party or as a school administrator in Montana. Given the hostility running through the Montana GOP today, Welch might have served herself better by staying out of the intra-party squabbling.
And filing about two years later.