Pogie’s Fearless Prognostications for Nov. 4: National Edition


Since every blog in the United States must have a prediction for tomorrow, it would be a shame if we were left out. With a few picks (Indiana and Florida) that I am quite unsure about, this is my guess for tomorrow’s results:


Popular Vote

Obama 53, McCain 46.

U.S. Senate Races

Democratic Wins
  • Franken wins in Minnesota by 5
  • Begich wins Alaska by 17
  • Udall wins Colorado by 12
  • Shaheen wins New Hampshire by 8
  • Udall wins New Mexico by 18
  • Hagan wins North Carolina by 8
  • Merkley wins Oregon by 7
  • Martin wins Georgia by 1, but does not reach 50%
Republican Wins
  • Kelleher wins Montana by 37
  • McConnell wins KY by 5
  • Wicker wins Mississippi by 8

U.S. House

The Democrats expand their lead big, to 266-169.

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About the author

Don Pogreba

Don Pogreba is an eighteen-year teacher of English, former debate coach, and loyal, if often sad, fan of the San Diego Padres and Portland Timbers. He spends far too many hours of his life working at school and on his small business, Big Sky Debate.

His work has appeared in Politico and Rewire.

In the past few years, travel has become a priority, whether it's a road trip to some little town in Montana or a museum of culture in Ísafjörður, Iceland.


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  • No, I was kidding about Kelleher. 🙂

    I might have been irrationally exuberant about the Alaska Senate race margin, too, it appears. The man was convicted, though. Come on Alaska.

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