No reason for irrational exuberance yet, but a couple of positive news items about the Burns-Tester race.
From the Gazette, Tester leads Burns, 47-40.
Democratic challenger Jon Tester is leading Republican U.S. Sen. Conrad Burns by a 47 percent to 40 percent margin, a new Gazette State Poll shows.
Ten percent of the voters are undecided, while 3 percent said they would vote for Libertarian candidate Stan Jones if the election, set for Nov. 7, were held today.
The Cook Political Report’s Senate expert, Jennifer Duffy,, says it’s hard to see how Burns could win:
To hear Duffy tell it, you can almost interpret the Senate races pitting Dem challengers against GOP incumbents as a series of concentric circles. On the outside are the races she thinks Dems are all but certain to win: the Pennsylvania race pitting Dem Bob Casey against GOPer Rick Santorum, and the Montana race between Dem Jon Tester and GOP incumbent Conrad Burns. Casey has been showing leads as large as double digits against Santorum, who’s been unable to seriously crack 40 percent despite a massive ad campaign, while Burns is reeling from a series of dopey gaffes that have left him all but finished.
“It’s hard to see how Burns and Santorum win their races,” Duffy says. “From there, it gets harder.”
Good, positive news, but nothing that should have us assuming this race will go our way. Burns and his lying, dishonest spin machine will only get worse as they see power slipping from their grasp.